With that said here are my picks for tonight:
Middle Tennessee State @ Florida (-11.5): MTSU is picked to finish in the middle (no pun intended) in a watered down Conference USA. They did have a nice run last year but all of their key contributors are gone as they bring in 8 new players. They've been outscored by an average of 27.6 points in losing all 12 of its games against Top 25 teams over the past decade. Florida is playing short-handed as well but with a 19 game home winning streak at stake better athletes 1 through 5 I see the Gators coming out focused and ready to take care of business at home.
FSU @ VCU (-7.5): I love this pick. FSU is coming off a terrible year and did not improve much at all over the summer. They aren't expected to be anything more than they were last year missing the tourney and getting bounced out of the NIT in the first round. VCU on the other hand is firing on all cylinders with their pres and trap offense which frustrates opponents to no end. Look for VCU to be focused and pumped up to beat another "big time program". Fun fact Terrance Shannon, FSU's most productive rebounder transferred to VCU and has immediate eligibility. Do you think he shared what FSU's tendencies are? Lay the points with confidence.
NC Wilmington @ Western Kentucky (-7.5): NC Wilmington is a pretty bad team. They are picked to finish 2nd to last in the Colonial Athletic Conference. They ranked 255th in turnover rate and 291 in adjusted efficiency, that means they suck on defense. That doesn't bode well as they are up against a Hilltopper team that likes to shoot the ball. They return four starters and are looking to make their third appearance in a row to the big dance.
Saints (-416) @ Falcons: the Saints are on a mission to win the South while the Falcons are looking to next year. I just don't see the Falcons offense doing anything on offense tonight. If for some reason this turns into a shoot out I like my money on Brees and Co.
Devils @ Kings (-194): Looking to get my money back as the Devils travel to LA off a OT win against the Ducks. I see them coming out tired and the Kings will take advantage.
Good Luck All!