Documented Results as of May 11, 2015


Thursday, February 27, 2014

Today's Line - Standing Under a Lucky Star

10-2 and what a night it was! Three of the games I picked (Michigan, N. Carolina, and W. Michigan) went into an improbable overtime and won on improbable shots. I can't tell you how many times I've been on the wrong side of those types of games. As they say in poker I'm living right!

I'd also like to point out that of the 10 wins not including the 4 teams in my parlay so that's 9 altogether 2 did not cover with 2 pushes. If I were to have picked every team ATS including my parlay teams, that's 15 altogether I would have gone 7-6-2. That's not going to get it done and that is why again I like the money line. It allows me to bet more games and not sweat the spread...even though I was sweating pretty hard last night just to get wins!

My only ATS pick I made was Nebraska losing to Illinois. Illinois wont go to the dance but they may win their first game in the Big 10 tourney depending on the seeding. Their defense has always been there it's just they have struggled on offense until recently.

The other loss was Toledo who totally blew it and makes their game with W. Michigan very intriguing for those of us that follow mid-major teams.

Another huge card awaits so lets get 60!

Last Week4315074.1%$5.39
Last Month11162364.2%$2.51
Last 90 Days296210758.5%
Last Year6855521855.4%


4 team teaser:

Arkansas @ Kentucky (-.5): Revenge factor here for Kentucky playing at home. Plus Kentucky showed some life and fight in that overtime win vs. LSU. It appears this team turned a corner after the Florida loss and is looking to make a run to the dance.

Tennessee St @ Morehead St (-2): The Ohio Valley tittle is pretty much a done deal with Belmont winning it however Morehead St can get their 20th win since 2010-11. They face a Tennessee St team that's 4-24 regular season and 3-11 in conference play. Look for the Eagles to get that 20th win in front of it's home crowd.

Duquesne @ St. Louis (-4): The Bilikns need all the conference wins they can get to stay atop the A-10 plus they are at home.

Sacramento St @ Weber St. (-2): Weber St needs this conference win to stay ahead of N. Colorado in the Big Sky conference. They get it done at home.

Ohio St (-240) @ Penn St: The Big 10 regular season title might be out of reach for the Buckeyes but revenge is not. Penn St beat them earlier this year at home and now they have the opportunity to return the favor. The Buckeyes get it done on the road.

W. Kentucky (-2) @ Texas St.: The Hilltoppers have an outside chance of wining the Sun Belt with a little help from Georgia State. Regardless of that if they don't run the table they won't have a shot. It starts tonight with Texas St who is 8-19 on the regular season and 4-10 in the Sun Belt. I don't see a lot of fight pt up by Texas St.

Green Bay (-214) @ Oakland: Green Bay has dominated the Horizon league with Cleveland St 1.5 GB. They need to beat Oakland to keep Cleveland St at bay. Oakland is on a down year and will not be able hang with the Phoenix.

Memphis (-308) @ Houston: After this game Memphis has games with the three teams that are ahead of them in the American; Louisville, Cincinnati, and SMU. Memphis will need to run the table to have any shot at the American title. But it starts with Houston, they must get past Houston. They will be focused to do so and get the W on the road.

Gonzaga (-211) @ Pacific: The Bulldogs get back on track against a team that is barley .500 and 5-11 in conference play. Mark Few will have his team ready to play.


Wizards (+5) @ Raptors: The Wizards are playing pretty good basketball winning 4 straight. They roll into Toronto with a 20-8 ATS record as a road team, 22-12 as an underdog, and 16-8 as a road dog. The Raptors are on a 3 game win streak however that includes beating Cleveland twice and Orlando. I'm not impressed. Incidentally they are 13-13-1 ATS at home, and only 12-10-1 as the home favorite. I think there is value here with 5 points.

Knicks @ Heat (-455): LBJ is coming off a broken nose and a few days rest. I'm not worried. The Knicks only have one true point guard these days. I see a lot of turnovers and Melo getting frustrated especially after that heart-breaker in Dallas. Heat win at home.

Good Luck All!

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Documented Results as of May 11, 2015