Dr J will be contributing MMA articles and picks for letsget60.com and has already made his picks for UFC 202 and UFC on Fox 21:
The main event for UFC 202 pits a revenge-crazed Conor McGregor versus a who-gives-a-fuck Nate Diaz! Diaz normally fights at 155 lbs.( lightweight) , and McGregor is the featherweight champion at 145 lbs. sort of. There is also interim featherweight champion Jose Aldo ever since the recent Aldo / Edgar bout at UFC 200 because champion McGregor got his gold panties in a bunch with all the commitments that were expected of him for his multi- million dollar payments from the UFC., and he lost his title, sort of, until a unification bout someday with Aldo.
McGregor is fighting Diaz at 170 lbs (welterweight), because when dos Anjos, the reigning 155 lb champion, broke his foot just before UFC 196 he couldn't defend his lightweight championship against McGregor so that McGregor could beat him and become a two division champion. The UFC did not want to let all that pay-per-view money get away so they brought in Nate Diaz from his vacaciones en México with no time to train for the fight, let alone lose the large amounts of weight these fighters shred to be able to fit into their skinny Reebok shorts for the weight-ins so they fought at 170 lbs. Diaz was expected to lose so that the McGregor hype-train would keep rolling along, but he didn't. Diaz beat McGregor by a rear-naked choke tapout in the second round. So now McGregor wants to get even, and the fight has to be at 170 lbs, even though neither of the fighters really fight at that weight, because if someone kicks sand in your face, you have to kick sand in their face at the same weight you both were when they did it to you or it wouldn’t really count, now would it? So that's what happens when money runs the show. The good news for us is there is money to be made on this crazy fight if we can pick the winner.
The Pick: Nate Diaz in the third round by submission
Why: Diaz beat McGregor in their first fight. Every fight that McGregor has ever won in the UFC was against a smaller opponent, Diaz is bigger and has more reach, is a very good boxer, can take a punch, and is a BJJ black belt with excellent ground skills, and has had a full training camp to get ready for a fighter he already beat with no camp.
Why not: McGregor is very motivated to win, and has been training specifically for this fight since he lost. He was beating Diaz in the first fight with left crosses over Diaz' jab until Diaz landed a hard punch in the second round and changed the momentum of the fight. Also, Diaz can be inconsistent as a fighter.
Extra factor: If McGregor wins, there will be a trilogy fight in the future with a lot of money to be made by the UFC and the fighters.
Donald Cerrone versus Rick Story
This is a very good match-up! Both fighters can stand and bang, but Cerrone has been on a tear recently and has very good ground skills when he needs them, which he probably won't in this fight.
Pick: Donald Cerrone by knock out in the second round.
Glover Teixeira versus Anthony Johnson
Don't blink when watching this fight or you may miss the knockout! Teixeira has both wrestling skills and knockout power. Johnson, after fighting at several weights, or should I say missing weight at several weights, has comfortably settled into the light heavyweight division. Johnson is a brutal knockout machine, with his only weakness being against very good wrestlers as his ground skills are suspect.
Pick: Anthony Johnson by brutal knockout in the first round.
Demian Maia versus Carlos Condit
This is an intriguing fight! Maia is a top level, perhaps THE top level, ground fighter in the UFC, who has been able to raise his striking skills better than most jujitsu trained fighters. Condit is an ex-champion with very good striking and elusive footwork.
Pick: Damian Maia by submission of "the natural born killer" in the third round.
On to baseball...
5-2 with a profit of $0.91 yesterday and if it wasn't for a Rondon melt down in Chicago the profits would have been more.
Today there isn't much and when Smyly is almost 2 to 1...yous in trouble jack...yous in trouble.
I know Kennedy has issues on the road and the Tigers are surging but this is more of a fade of Norris then a KC endorsement even though KC has a good .avg and a good wOBA. This game is basically a coin flip IMO and I'm getting plus money with a chance of a push.
I'm always leery backing fat man but much like the KC play this is more of a fade of Ray and the D'bags. Again plus money with a chance of a push.
Record Since Inception:
September 26, 2013:
Beginning Balance: $7.80 (link)
Since Inception: +11.50
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