Documented Results as of July 20th 2018

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Heisman Trophy - Will Grier (QB West Virginia) +650 (L)
Heisman Trophy - Kyler Murray (QB Oklahoma) +950 (W)

Reach Final 4 - Kansas +140
Reach Final 4 - Gonzaga +180
Reach Final 4 - Virginia +650
Reach Final 4 - Tennessee +1100
Reach Final 4 - Kansas State +2000

Central Division - Indiana Pacers +132
Western Conference - Houston Rockets +675
Eastern Conference - Boston Celtics -113
Eastern Conference - Philadelphia 76ers +380

NBA Most Valuable Player - Anthony Davis +400
NBA Most Valuable Player - Giannis Antetokounmpo +475

Friday, October 18, 2013

Momentum going into the Weekend!

Hello sports fans what a way to start the weekend by going 6-2 last night! That's 75% for all you math wiz's out there. My only two losses came in the NHL. Toronto allowed 3 goals in the 3rd and San Jose lost in a shootout. I can forgive the Sharks...but Toronto has got to be able to close teams out especially at home!

My record to date:

Last Week1713056.7%$0.37
Last Month4538054.2%-$5.4
Last 90 Days5048051.0%-$14.51
Last Year4003611452.6%-$27.12

Beautiful I'm above 50% in every category! I must tread always evens out so I'm taking extra precaution with my picks to make sure I end the week 60% or above.

On to the picks:

Only two NHL games tonight and I'm not feeling either one. If I had to bet I'd take the Ducks at home.

We have a nice pitching duel in the MLB tonight as Kersahw and Wacha toe the rubber. The Dodgers are slightly favored here with the over/under at 5.5, which is about the lowest OU you will see. The line is Cards +1.5 (-151). There is some value taking the Cards at (+116) but not enough for me. I generally stay away form games that feature two great pitchers. If I had to bet though I'd take Kershaw and the Dodgers in an elimination game.


UCF @ Louisville (-14): Louisville is playing great football with Bridgewater averaging 329 yards per game. UCF's offense is nothing to sneeze at averaging 31 points a game while their defense is only giving up 16.6 points a game playing quality teams like Penn St (win) and South Carolina (close loss). I see this game being close but Charlie Strong will have his team ready to play, I see some value taking UCF but I like Louisville in a 4-team teaser.

TCU @ Oklahoma St (-7.5): Both teams can't score but TCU has a better defense. I see value in TCU getting more than 7 points. This might be a nice 7 point teaser with the under currently at 51.

Georgia (-7) @ Vandy: This spread opened at 9.5 and steadily dropped to 7. This tells me the sharps and/or public jumped all over the 9.5 as they lost faith in Georgia and all their injuries. Both teams come into this game limping while Georgia still has an outside shot at getting to Atlanta. I love the fact that the road to Atlanta goes through the Gators this year. I see a close game here where Georgia might even trail at the half but talent prevails as Georgia scores last.

Texas Tech (-5) @ West Virginia: Not sure who is starting at QB for TT so this is an immediate pass. However the OU is at 57 which is juicy. This game should be a shoot out.

South Carolina (-7.5) @ Tennessee: Here we have another SEC East team that still has a shot to get to Atlanta. The Gamecocks will come in motivated and ready to take care of business. SC rolls.

Florida (-3) @ Missouri: We all know that Missouri can score and they have the inside track to Atlanta as long as they get past the Gators. However the Gators are in the same position. It bodes well for the Gators that Missouri lost it's starting QB. If Missouri were healthy I'd pick them but here defense wins games and the best defense wins this one. Florida continues to struggle on offense but does just enough to keep their dream of reaching Atlanta alive for at least one more week.

N. Illinois (-15) @ C. Michigan: Don't look now bu NIU has quite a win streak going and it continues as they drub the Chippewas.

UCLA @ Stanford (-4.5): If Utah was a barometer then UCLA wins this game easily but remember UCLA needed 6 interceptions to win by 7. That tells me that these teams are pretty evenly matched. I do like UCLA coming in with momentum and their perfect record both SU and ATS, however Stanford is at it's best when faced with adversity. This game will make or break their season. I see some value here taking the 4.5 since this game is likely to be decided on a field goal or less.

Iowa @ Ohio St. (-17.5): Quite frankly Iowa is over matched on both sides of the ball. 17.5 points is a lot to lay so Ohio St is going into my 4 team teaser.

Auburn @ Texas AM (-13.5): Expect another shoot out as both teams can't stop anybody. Johnny Football has another outstanding game as Texas AM wins another high scoring game. The OU is an astounding 73 points but if you remember last week Texas AM covered 72...Texas AM is the third team going into that 4-team teaser.

Oklahoma (-22) @ Kansas: Stoops is 14-0 after the Texas game and he will be 15-0 before the day is through. Look for the Sooners to take out their frustrations on a Kansas team that is just sorry.

Washington @ ASU (-3.5): I'm going against the grain on this one as everyone loves the points here. Washington is 1-1 on the road with that win being against Illinois. They are not road tested and are coming off two loses. ASU however got back on track against Colorado and has a explosive offense. Washington's two losses are against teams that can score. I like ASU at home.

LSU (-9.5) @ Ole Miss: It seems to me the bookies still can't get it right when it comes to LSU. LSU is 4-2-1 ATS with their only non-cover was against Kent St. This weeks line opened at -8 and quickly moved to 9.5. I know these games are typically close but after that heart-breaking loss to Texas AM last week I don't see Ole Miss coming out ready to play and LSU takes advantage.

Iowa St @ Baylor (-33): As I said last week Baylor is legit...and fast. Did I mention how fast they are? Iowa St will not be able to keep up as Baylor pulls away in the second half. I don't like big spreads so I'm laying off but I wouldn't be surprised at all if they covered.

Arkansas @ Alabama (-29): Alabama gets another cake-walk as the schedule is mighty kind to them in October. We have two teams going in opposite directions. Bama covers easily...gotta impress those computers.

FSU (-3) @ Clemson: This is the biggest game of the year since Bama/Texas AM and hopefully its as good. I don't bet big games so this is an easy pass. However if I had to I love the fact that Clemson is getting 3 at home.

Wisconsin (-14.5) @ Illinois: Wisconsin has got to be licking their chops looking at their schedule seeing smooth sailing to the last game of the season against Penn St. They may come out a little flat and trail early but their run game and defense take over and cover late in the fourth. This is good game to tease the over at (56)

UNLV @ Fresno St (-24.5): Fresno is 5-0 SU but a dreadful 1-4 ATS. Perhaps the bookies have yet to figure this team out. Both teams can score and either one plays much defense. The OU is 74 which seams a bit high but this is a late game so if you are looking to add a team for that late 4 team teaser I would look at taking the over.

The picks:

I'm sticking with the 4-team teaser plan I wrote about on Wednesday:

Ohio St at home vs Iowa -5
LSU at Ole Miss +3.5
Texas A&M at home vs Auburn -.5
Louisville at home vs. Central Florida -1 (Friday night game)

If for some reason Louisville losses I can add Bama tomorrow.

I'm going with another 4-team teaser:

Wisconsin -1.5
Bama -16
NIU -2
Boise St -10

7 point teaser:
Wyoming +.5: Wyoming looks to stay atop the west division of the MWC hosting a devastated CSU team.
TT/WVU Over (50.5)

South Carolina -7 (-127)

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Documented Results as of May 11, 2015