Today we have a full slate of games including MMA with UFC Fight Night 95. @drjayh has been crushing it since he came to letsget60.com with a record of 24-9 and hasn't looked back. Here are his picks for tonight's bouts.
UFC Fight Night 95
The main event for UFC fight night 95 has the arguably toughest female fighter on the planet, Cristine "Cyborg" Juntino against Lina Lansberg. They are fighting at a "catch weight" of 140 pounds. Both of these fighters have fought at 145 in the past. Why they are fighting at 140 lbs, I can only speculate.
For one, the UFC does not have a 145 women's division. For Cyborg to be a UFC champion she must fight at 135 lbs, which is a weight that she has not been capable of making. You might wonder why does it matter? In the current state of the UFC, for any situation that you find puzzling, the answer can be found in the famous statement that the infamous bank robber, Willie Sutton, gave when asked "Why do you rob banks?" His reply, "Because that's where the money is!"
Cyborg has this pipe dream of fighting Rhonda Rousey, and Rousey will only fight at 135 lbs. Don't even get me started on Cyborg's history of anabolic steroid use to be the incredibly ripped fighting machine she is. Honestly, I’d like to see her beat just because of that, but my job here is to help all y'all make money.
Her opponent, Lina Landsberg is a pretty tough Muay Thai fighter who likes to clinch and fight in tight with elbows and knees, but Cyborg has only lost once, and that was in 2005. This is a five round fight. I don't think Cyborg has ever seen a fifth round, Most of her opponents have never seen a second round. If you haven't seen this woman fight, this is your chance. Nothing about it will be pretty
Pick: Cyborg by strikes in the first round.
Renan Barao versus Phillipe Nover
Renan Barao was the bantamweight champion for several years and considered one of the top PFP (pound for pound) fighters in all of MMA. Then he got soundly beaten by TJ Dillishaw and has been struggling a bit since. This fight is in front of his home country fans. Barao will win it.
Pick: Renan Barao by strikes, second round
Roy Nelson versus Antonio Silva
These two guys are among the largest fighters currently active in the UFC, both fighting near the 265 lb limit after losing weight to get there. Antonio "Big Foot" Silva got that way from a hormonal disorder. Roy, "Big Country" Nelson got that way from eating. Nelson seems to pride himself as being fat, and for a large man, he is quite skilled. His overhand right has laid out several fighters that figured a fat man couldn't hurt them. Most everything we can see on Silva is big, not just his feet. He is a heavy hitter with black belts in BJJ and karate. For his last several fights, Silva has either knocked out his opponent, or they have knocked him out. Nelson can still carry a big stick, it's hard to walk softly with a big foot.
Pick: Roy Nelson by knockout, second round
Francisco Trinaldo versus Paul Felder
Pick: Francisco Trinaldo by decision.
Thiago Santos versus Eric Spicely
Pick: Thiago Santos by decision
Mike De La Torre versus Godofredo Pepey
Pick: Godofredo Pepey by decision
Roni Yahya versus Michinori Tanaka
This is an interesting fight between a judo trained fighter, Tanaka and a jujitsu fighter,Yahya. This is not the typical MMA stand and strike fight. If you are interested in BJJ at the highest level, Yahya has it. Think of him as a boa constrictor. If Yahya gets a firm grip anywhere on Tanaka, he will slowly bring him into his world and choke him out.
Pick: Roni Yahya by submission, second round
On the diamond:
Favorable over ump (13-9) in New York plus the Jays hit lefties very well.
Fishy line on the Red Sox but I'll bite anyway. Can't pass up that price on a Cy Young candidate.
Another favorable over ump (16-5) in Milwaukee.
On the gridiron:
I'm putting my money where my mouth is today by not having any bonus cash plays. I'm paying/will get paid for all leans.
Iowa is still a good team and nobody is talking about Washington...just they way they like it I'm sure. A nice parlay to bookend the day.
I've mulled this FSU game over and over all week. IMO this is a great spot for FSU to bounce back and have a great game. I think being on the road is actually better than having this game at home. I'm not buying the hangover effect from last week's blowout. Stuff like that happens. This is still a very good balanced football team with playmakers on both sides of the ball. FSU may start out slow but by the second half I see them pulling away and easily covering.
Another team in a bounce back spot is Ole Miss. Here is where I think being at home helps since they have had a couple of close losses. This team is talented and Georgia isn't. The Rebels cover.
Saban won't run it up on his alma mater, plus Kiffin will be calling conservative plays down the stretch.
Wisky comes out pumped while Sparty starts slow. Wisky leads after 1 quarter.
The Vols are favored at home and this is the game the entire state of Tennessee has circled on their calendar. Florida comes in with a back up QB so it's all pointing Tennessee's way. But I just don't see it. The Vols couldn't stop App St or Ohio's defense. Florida's defensive line is in another universe, so they will keep Florida in the game while Coach Mac and the offense will come prepared and make adjustments to get this game to the 4th quarter where they can steal it.
Both Pitt and the Tar Heels can put up points; NC's receiving corps is one of the top in the country.
BYU has a high flying offense that hasn't really taken off yet. This is a perfect game for it do so while West Virginia who has no trouble scoring. I see a lot of folks on BYU. If BYU is going to win they have got to score points.
It set's up perfectly for Auburn tonight. Remember weird things happen when LSU comes to Auburn and with a new quarterback and a one dimensional offense I think Auburn will stack the box and make LSU beat them in the air. This is Auburn's last stand, because if they don't win this game their season is pretty much done.
Big 12 clash=over. Oky St catching more than a TD as well against a team that hasn't proven a thing.
Here is another situation where the home dog is live. UCLA is in a great spot hosting Stanford. Do we really know how good Stanford is? We can't put too much stock in the USC win and this will be the best defense they have faced so far this year with K-State being a close second. UCLA's QB had a rough outing last time they met, this will be different. UCLA gets this game in to the 4th where anything can happen at home.
Even though Texas A&M defense has been better and they run a more ball controlled offense, they are not going to beat Arkansas by running the ball and playing defense. Both teams might start out that way but come the second half and especially in the 4th quarter I see a track meet. Over covers late in the 4th.
We know Air Force can score but Utah St has put up 45, 45, and 34 in their first three games. I see this one being a shoot out.
Record Since Inception:
September 26, 2013:
Beginning Balance: $7.80 (link)
Since Inception: +19.18
Sportsplays hasn't posted my updated records yet.
|09-25-16||FIGHT||2 Team Parlay: (-240) view picks||$0.54||$0.22||pending|
|09-25-16||FIGHT||Parlay Pick 1: MONEYLINE: Renan Barao-473||pending|
|09-24-16||FIGHT||Parlay Pick 2: MONEYLINE: Roy Nelson-454||pending|
|09-25-16||FIGHT||Renan Barao vs. Phillipe Nover UNDER 2.5 (+110)||$0.27||$0.29||pending|
|09-25-16||FIGHT||Cristiane Justino vs. Lina LansbergUNDER 1.5 (-375)||$0.27||$0.07||pending|
|09-24-16||FIGHT||MONEYLINE: Rani Yahya -134||$0.54||$0.40||pending|
|09-24-16||FIGHT||Rani Yahya vs. Michinori Tanaka UNDER 2.5 (+150)||$0.27||$0.40||pending|
|09-24-16||FIGHT||Mike De La Torre vs. Godofredo PepeyOVER 1.5 (+100)||$0.27||$0.27||pending|
|09-24-16||FIGHT||MONEYLINE: Godofredo Pepey -141||$0.54||$0.38||pending|
|09-24-16||FIGHT||Francisco Trinaldo vs. Paul Felder OVER 2.5 (-200)||$0.27||$0.13||pending|
|09-24-16||FIGHT||MONEYLINE: Francisco Trinaldo -127||$0.54||$0.42||pending|
|09-24-16||FIGHT||Roy Nelson vs. Antonio Silva OVER 1.5 (+180)||$0.27||$0.48||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||2 Team Parlay: (-251) view picks||$0.68||$0.27||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||Parlay Pick 1: MONEYLINE: Huskies -468||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||Parlay Pick 2: MONEYLINE: Hawkeyes-497||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||Falcons at Aggies OVER 52.5 (-110)||$0.54||$0.49||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||Golden Bears at Sun Devils OVER 82.5 (-110)||$0.12||$0.11||pending|
|09-24-16||MLB||2 Team Parlay: (-119) view picks||$0.15||$0.12||pending|
|09-24-16||MLB||Parlay Pick 1: MONEYLINE: Dodgers-297||pending|
|09-24-16||MLB||Parlay Pick 2: MONEYLINE: Giants -213||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||Aggies vs. Razorbacks OVER 49.5 (-110)||$0.54||$0.49||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||ATS: Bruins +3 (+100)||$0.27||$0.27||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||ATS: Wildcats +8.5 (-110)||$0.11||$0.10||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||ATS: Cowboys +8.5 (-115)||$0.12||$0.10||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||Cowboys at Bears OVER 74 (-110)||$0.54||$0.49||pending|
|09-24-16||MLB||Reds at Brewers OVER 9 (-105)||$0.15||$0.14||pending|
|09-24-16||MLB||MONEYLINE: Red Sox -153||$0.54||$0.35||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||ATS: Tigers +3.5 (-115)||$0.27||$0.23||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||ATS: Buffaloes +10.5 (-110)||$0.11||$0.10||pending|
|09-24-16||MLB||Yankees at Blue Jays OVER 9 (+105)||$0.15||$0.15||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||Mountaineers vs. Cougars OVER 51 (-110)||$0.12||$0.11||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||Panthers at Tar Heels OVER 68 (-110)||$0.54||$0.49||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||ATS: Gators +7 (-140) b1||$0.76||$0.54||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||ATS: Huskies -3 (-110)||$0.11||$0.10||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||ATS 1st ¼: Badgers +0.5 (-130)||$0.13||$0.10||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||ATS: Golden Flashes +44 (-110)||$0.11||$0.10||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||ATS: Rebels -6.5 (-135) b0.5||$0.54||$0.40||pending|
|09-24-16||CFB||ATS: Seminoles -6.5 (-110)||$0.53||$0.48||pending|
Good Luck All!