Documented Results as of July 20th 2018

Upcoming Picks

Futures

NBA:
Win NBA Championship - Warriors -160
NBA Most Valuable Player - Giannis Antetokounmpo +475

CFB:
Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Jalen Hurts +650
Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Tua Tagovailoa +500
Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Trevor Lawrence +350

Alabama 11 wins OVER
Florida 9 wins OVER
Georgia 10.5 wins OVER
Michigan 9.5 wins OVER
Sparty 7 wins OVER
Notre Dame 9.5 wins OVER
Ohio St 10 wins OVER
Nebraska 8 wins OVER

NFL:

Reach AFC Conference Final - Kansas City Chiefs +160
Reach AFC Conference Final - Jacksonville Jaguars +625
Reach NFC Conference Final - New Orleans Saints +215
Reach NFC Conference Final - Chicago Bears +365


Cleveland Browns win AFC North +120
Jacksonville Jaguars win AFC South +350
Los Angeles Chargers win AFC West +280
Philadelphia Eagles win NFC East +105
Chicago Bears win NFC North +175
Carolina Panthers win NFC South +775
Seattle Seahawks win NFC West +280


CHI regular season wins over 9½ +105
CLE regular season wins over 9 -130
DAL regular season wins over 8½ -130
GB regular season wins over 9½ +105
JAX regular season wins over 8 -115
KC regular season wins over 10½ -115
LAR regular season wins over 10½ -105
NOR regular season wins over 10½ +105
PIT regular season wins under 8½ +120
SEA regular season wins over 8½ -115


New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl +975

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

Today's Line - Nervous?

We hear all the time, make sure you are comfortable with your bet, gotta feel good about it, have a good feeling...bet it!

I'm here to tell you at least in my experience the ones you feel really good about are losers more often then the ones you are unsure of and a little nervous about. If you feel really good about a play there might be something else besides sound data that is making you chose a certain side. Maybe you saw the team play a while back and were impressed, maybe you heard or read a hot take from a local. Maybe ESPN is pimping out a team to get more eyeballs on the game.

Bottom line is if you have a full card with teams you absolutely love be cautious. If you have a mix of plays you feel really good about and others that make you a little nervous well sit back and enjoy the ride. Some of both will get across the finish line.


Tonight I have both. I love Nova, Wizards, Pacers, and the Bucks. I'm nervous about the Clippers, who wouldn't, the Heat, Raptors and the Rockets mainly because either one of them have been covering big spreads.

#LetsGet60


Yesterday79043.8%
Last Week4547448.9%
Last Month2151891853.2%
Last 90 Days4113793352.0%
Last Year115410469552.5%
Lifetime5626501231852.9%


12-13-17NBAATS: Rockets -12 (-110)$0.17$0.15



12-13-17NBAATS: Raptors -11.5 (-105)$0.17$0.16



12-13-17NBAATS: Bucks +2.5 (-110)$0.17$0.15



12-13-17NBAATS: Heat -2.5 (-110)$0.17$0.15



12-13-17NBAATS: Pacers +1 (-110)$0.17$0.15



12-13-17NBAATS: Wizards -7.5 (-110)$0.17$0.15



12-13-17NBAATS: Clippers +1.5 (-105)$0.17$0.16



12-13-17CBBATS: Wildcats -7 (-110)$0.10$0.09

Some Justification:

Nova (-7) is traveling to Temple in a battle between two teams in Philadelphia. This will be a good one that will either be a blowout by Nova, I hope, or be close until the last couple of minutes and Nova covers on foul shooting, I hope! In short I think Nova has better dudes than Temple and will be able to outlast Temple's adrenaline.


I'm not crazy about backing the Clippers (+1.5) but my model says do so against the Magic who are really banged up and the Clippers are on a little bit of a win streak with 2 in a row. I think they get their 3rd tonight.



The Wizards (-7.5) get their star back tonight as the welcome Memphis. This is a great spot for Wall to come back since Memphis isn't that great of a team and has no one that will be able to guard him. Beal will move back to more of the familiar role of supporting cast to the John Wall show.


The Heat (-2.5) take on Portland tonight and will certainly have their hands full with the Blazers excellent guard play however Miami leads the Blazers in almost every stat I track including the hot one of effective FG%.



This one is going to be fun. The Thunder take their OKC3 show to Old Hickory to take on the Pacers (+1) in what should be a rowdy game. This is PG13's first game back to Indiana since he left to be part of the OKC3 experiment that everyone just needs to calm down about. It's not even Christmas yet and already folks are saying they need to blow it up and fire Billy D. Look I think the Pacers get this one being at home, playing on emotion, and the fact that OKC is still trying to figure it out. But let's pump the brakes a little on the Thunder. That's a VERY talented team, just give them time.


The Greek Freak and the Bucks (+2.5) take on the banged up Pelicans with Anthony Davis listed as game time decision as of this writing. I'm betting he sits another one out and New Orleans lack of depth will get them in trouble guarding Anteokounmpo.





As I said above I'm a little nervous backing the Raptors (-11.5) because of the big number but they're playing the Suns who played last night and as we saw ran out of gas in the 4th against the Kings. The Suns are also resting Chandler who gives them a defensive presence in the paint. The Suns really don't have anyone else that can fill in so Valanciunas should be able to get what he wants.

For the night cap we have Houston (-12) trying to cover a big spread which they haven't done since they beat the Lakers 10 days ago. However they are playing the Hornets which give up 106 ppg ranked 18th in the league. We know Harden will get his and CP3 will do his thing. Finally, I think Howard comes back down to earth as long as Houston just throws bodies at him to get him frustrated.



Good Luck All!

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Documented Results as of May 11, 2015

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