Magic Number to 60% - 302
Cash Balance - $6.92
Bonus Balance - $7.83
|Last 90 Days||135||117||3||53.6%|
Well it was a good day since 2-1 is 66% however it could have been a lot better. I talked myself out of 5 winners yesterday by reading too much into the stats, the fact that some teams were playing on the road, and on their second game of a back-to-back. I need to trust myself more.
La Salle failed to cover the parlay from yesterday so I'm starting the day 0-1 but looking to make it up right away with Baylor.
South Carolina @ Baylor (-14): The rebuilding has officially begun as the Gamecocks lost 5 players from last years squad, four of them transfers. No surprise there since it takes a certain type of player to want to play for Frank Martin. Martin in his second year has "no idea" what he has in this years team. Baylor on the other hand is ranked 23rd and took care of a pretty good Colorado team at a neutral location. Today they get to play their first home game. Look for the Bears to continue their winning ways as the Gamecocks wither int he second half.
Buffalo (+4.5) @ Toledo: This spread makes no sense. Buffalo is 5-0 in their conference and needs to stay that way to keep ahead of Bowling Green who they play at the end of November. We saw just how good their defense was last week as the held Ohio to 3 points. Look for them to have the same type of game plan; run the ball, control the clock, play good defense.
VCU (+3) @ Virginia: Here is a spread that doesn't make sens to me. VCU is ranked higher looked very impressive in their first win but is getting points. I understand they are on the road but 3 points is a lot. I like VCU to win outright in this game mainly because of the vastly different styles of play. VCU like to get out and run, press and shoot the three. Virginia wants to run it's half-court offense and grind out wins which will server them well this year but not against VCU. I see VCU forcing the Cavs into a fast pace game and they won't be able to keep up.
Manhattan (-4.5) @ Columbia: The Jaspers travel to Columbia fresh off a double overtime win against La Salle. Look for them to play with a lot of confidence as their guards continue to score and overwhelm one of the Ivey league's worst teams.
MSU (-3.5) @ Kentucky: This is game is actually being played in Chicago but it might as well be a home game for Sparty. I understand that Kentucky has a terrific recruiting class and looked really good in their first game and some people are calling for an undefeated season. MSU is pretty talented as well and they bring back 4 healthy starters and a wealth of experience. I'll take experience over talent any day especially in a big game.
Drexel (-5) @ Illinois State: Drexel brings back 3 starters that gave UCLA all it could handle. They get a much easier foe in Illinois State who is in full rebuilding mode losing all 5 starters. Look for Drexel to get it'a first win on the road.
4 team teaser:
South Carolina @ Baylor (-3.5): I know I know I'm doubling up but if or some reason they don't cover the I can add the rest of the teams into another one.
Fordam @ Syracuse (-8.5): The Orange should have no problem winning by 9 playing their signature zone defense against a Fordam team that is small and short on talent.
Bucks @ Heat (-3.5): Milwaukee simply does not have the talent to stay competitive on the road against the best player in the NBA and a team that is looking to get their edge back. This is a slam dunk for the Heat.
Pistons/Warriors OVER (192.5): Both teams are averaging over 100 points scored while Detroit is giving up over a 100 on defense. Look for the splash brothers to score big at home against a tired Pistons team.
Flyers @ Senators (-142): Philadelphia is at the bottom of their conference with a -18 differential on the road against a team that is playing pretty good hockey as of late wining 3 in a row with a +2 differential. This is a clear case as the better team, rested, playing at home.
Keep An Eye On:
The Lowest Under: ATS: (6-2-1)
Hit last night! Only 4 games tonight. No play.
Fading Houston: ATS: (3-4-1)
As I predicted, the Raptors covered...barley.
Shading New Orleans: ATS (3-4)
Giving 3 points to the Lakers. Until they get on the right side of ATS I'm laying off.
Shading Detroit: ATS (3-3)
As predicted they failed to cover. They are getting 9 at Golden State. I don't like them vs West Coast teams. No play.
Good Luck Everyone!