Documented Results as of July 20th 2018

Upcoming Picks


Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Jalen Hurts +650
Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Tua Tagovailoa +500
Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Trevor Lawrence +350
Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Joe Burrow +375

Alabama 11 wins OVER (7-0)
Baylor 7 wins OVER (9-0) WINNER!
Florida 9 wins OVER (8-2)
Georgia 10.5 wins OVER (9-1)
Illinois 3.5 wins OVER (6-4) WINNER!
LSU 8.5 wins OVER (8-0)
Michigan 9.5 wins OVER (7-2)
Notre Dame 9.5 wins OVER (7-2)
Ohio St 10 wins OVER (9-0)
Nebraska 8 wins OVER (4-5)
Oregon 8.5 wins OVER (8-1)
Sparty 7 wins OVER (4-5)
Utah 8.5 wins OVER (8-1)


Reach AFC Conference Final - Kansas City Chiefs +160
Reach AFC Conference Final - Jacksonville Jaguars +625
Reach NFC Conference Final - New Orleans Saints +215
Reach NFC Conference Final - Chicago Bears +365

Cleveland Browns win AFC North +120
Jacksonville Jaguars win AFC South +350
Los Angeles Chargers win AFC West +280
Philadelphia Eagles win NFC East +105
Chicago Bears win NFC North +175
Carolina Panthers win NFC South +775
Seattle Seahawks win NFC West +280

CHI regular season wins over 9½ +105 (4-5)
CLE regular season wins over 9 -130 (3-6)
DAL regular season wins over 8½ -130 (5-4)
GB regular season wins over 9½ +105 (8-2)
JAX regular season wins over 8 -115 (4-5)
KC regular season wins over 10½ -115 (6-4)
LAR regular season wins over 10½ -105 (5-4)
NOR regular season wins over 10½ +105 (7-2)
PIT regular season wins under 8½ +120 (5-4)
SEA regular season wins over 8½ -115 (7-2)

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl +975 (7-2)

Wednesday, December 6, 2017

Today's Line - Back to the Start

6-3 but with a paltry profit of $0.09 thanks to the end of the Suns/Raptors game where the Raptors just stopped playing in the last minute and gave up the cover. I also only put $0.05 on two plays that I wasn't really confident about but came up winners.

Time to go back to 1 unit a play. Time to go back to the Start!


Record Since Inception:
September 26, 2013:

4383-3960 (52.5%)

Beginning Balance: $7.80

Yesterday: $6.16
Today: $6.25
Since Inception: -$1.55
Growth: -20%

Last Week5337458.9%
Last Month1941661453.9%
Last 90 Days3883493152.7%
Last Year114610319252.6%
Best Streak13676464.0%

12-06-17NBAATS: Timberwolves -5.5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-06-17NBAATS: Spurs -7.5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-06-17NBAATS: Bucks -4 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-06-17NBAATS: Nuggets +5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-06-17CBBATS: Gators -16.5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-06-17NBAMavericks at Celtics OVER 201.5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-06-17NBAATS: Celtics -8.5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-06-17NBAATS: Knicks -2 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-06-17NBAATS: Cavaliers -12.5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-06-17NBABulls at Pacers UNDER 208.5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-06-17NBAATS: Pacers -9.5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-06-17NBAATS: Hawks +6.5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-06-17CBBATS: Hokies -19 (-110)$0.10$0.09

Some justification:

Virginia Tech is (-19) coming off two very nice wins against Iowa, who they crushed, and Ole Miss. Tonight they welcome Radford and then the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks before their big showdown at Kentucky on December 16th. I know 19 is a lot of points but Virginia Tech is undefeated at home and they have another tune-up game before Kentucky I don't see them looking ahead. Also the way this team plays 19 points will be easier to cover than other teams since the Hokies really don't have any other speed at which they play then fast. VT averages 73 possessions per game, only 10 possession short of the leader which is the Citadel and 7 more than Radford. Look for a fast up and down game from Virginia Tech

The Florida Gators (-16.5) were flat out embarrassed at home by their rivals Florida State. Now they won't get another crack at the Seminoles unless their paths meet in March but what they can do is take out their frustrations on Loyola-Chicago. The trick for the Gators is not to rely too much on the 3 point shot. That got them in trouble against FSU. I think they will look to go inside more and shoot better tonight.

If you have been following me you know I use a system for the NBA. This system is based on a few advanced stats that I weight differently on any given night. The system is very dynamic so it's not uncommon for me to back one team and then go against them the very next night. My system doesn't care what team is playing or the situation; it's pure data. It's up to me to factor in injured players, situations, the line, and many others. 

With that...

Atlanta Hawks (+6.5) at Orlando Magic. The Hawks score better then the Magic in almost every category I track. I love it when that happens to a dog.

Like the Hawks the Bulls score better than the Pacers (-9.5) in my model but we all know that the Bulls are awful and the market is just now catching up to the Pacers who are 15-9 ATS and 8-2 ATS in their last 10. 9.5 might be an over adjustment but I'm okay with it. The under (208) is live in this as well since the Bulls don't have a legit scorer and are only averaging 95 ppg.

LBJ and the Cavilers (-12.5) go for their 13 win in a row against the Sacramento Kings who are 29th in scoring and offensive efficiency. Need I say more?

I'm counting on the Knicks (-2) having Porzingis back for their home tilt against Memphis who is just completely lost without Conelly and a lame duck coach. Zing will bring energy and confidence to this young Knicks squad that should get it done at home.

Here is another game where my system favors Dallas over the obvious choice Celtics (-8.5) at home. Again sometimes you have to factor in the eye test when it comes to the NBA and the Celtics are just flat out better. They not only have a better effective FG% than Dallas but they're just shy of 80% ATS. The over (201.5) is in play as well as both these teams average just over 100 ppg.

Denver (+5) is getting points at a New Orleans team that is missing their best player. That means its up to Boogie to stay focused and deliver. Fat chance. Love Denver in this spot.

Anytime I'm backing the Greek Freak I'm happy. This guy can flat out get it done and can take over a game at any moment. I don't see anyone from Detroit being able to stop him. Bucks (-4) at home is a solid play.

Spurs (-7.5) welcome Miami without their best player in Whiteside. We know Pop is great ATS but without Whiteside Miami has no interior defense, no re-bounder, and no go to scorer. The Spurs should cover easily.

Minnesota (-5.5) is taking their show on the road to visit the struggling Clippers. I know the T-Wolves have their 4th quarter issues but no team is worse in the 4th than the Clippers not to mention they are without their best player. I see another collapse in the 4th by both teams of course but Minnesota should have a big enough lead to still cover.

Good Luck All!

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Documented Results as of May 11, 2015