Not much of a slate tonight however I got a nice NFL teaser that bookends week 14.
Record Since Inception:
September 26, 2013:
Beginning Balance: $7.80
Since Inception: -$1.61
|Last 90 Days||392||355||32||52.5%|
|12-07-17||NFL||Teaser Pick 1: ATS: Saints +12.5 (-107)|
|12-07-17||NFL||Teaser Pick 2: Saints at Falcons OVER 41.5 (-110)|
|12-11-17||NFL||Teaser Pick 3: ATS: Patriots -1 (-105)|
|12-10-17||NFL||ATS: Vikings -2.5 (-120)||$0.20||$0.17|
|12-09-17||CFB||ATS: Midshipmen -3 (-130) b0.5||$0.20||$0.15|
|12-07-17||NBA||ATS: Rockets -6 (-117)||$0.10||$0.08|
|12-07-17||NBA||ATS: Nets +6.5 (-110)||$0.10||$0.09|
|12-07-17||NBA||ATS: 76ers -8 (-110)||$0.10||$0.09|
|12-07-17||CBB||ATS: Cyclones -6.5 (-110)||$0.10||$0.09|
|12-07-17||CBB||ATS: Crusaders +16 (-110)||$0.10||$0.09|
3 team teaser (+10)
We know the Saints struggle on the road historically however this year has been better going 3-2 ATS on the road so far. The reason for this is two-fold. One, their defense is much better with a healthy Lattimore which looks to be the odds on favorite for defensive ROY. Secondly, they have a running game with two very different backs that keeps opposing defenses guessing. These two things travel very well and with the Falcons in a "must win" game I like the Saints getting (+12.5).
Both teams are going to score that we know and since this is a prime time game but this total opened at 55 and has dropped to 51.5. This is super fishy since usually the total gets hammed by the public and it rises. The fact that this actually went down tells me the line makers got spooked and over adjusted. Getting it at 41.5 is icing on the cake.
I don't think I need to spend anytime on why I think the Pats (-1) will win on Monday night.
Theses two games Valpo (+16) and Iowa St (-6.5) are both games I just feel like will cover. I have no numbers to back this up. So tread lightly. I just think 16 is a lot to give a good Valpo team playing a vulnerable Purdue team. I said it before and I'll say it again Iowa won't win anything until they get rid of their coach. He should not be a leader of young men. If you don't believe me search for Iowa coach meltdowns and watch for yourself.
I'm not a Laker fan and I never was. I never liked Kobe and it killed me that Shaq was on the Lakers since he is one of my favorites. I also think BBB is a Big Big Bust and they have a long way to go until they can win on a consistent basis. The 76ers on the other hand have done the right thing and built a team that is dynamic, and hungry to win. Philadelphia (-8) leads the Lakers in most of the stats I track and the market hasn't quite caught up to them yet as they are just under 70% ATS. Love Philly in this spot.
I love teams that play hard especially when they are dogs and the Nets (+6.5) are no exception. This game is being played in Mexico City and the Thunder will be without Paul George. We know Oklahoma City is still trying to figure out how to win with their big 3 and now they are without George. Russ probably gets a triple-double but I don't see them covering.
The Houston Rockets (-6) is a different team with CP3 in the lineup. I'm not seeing the 4th quarter melts or the times where they let teams back into games. CP3 brings the type of maturity that Harden needed. I love this team out of the West and 6 points is not enough against Utah.
Good Luck All!