Documented Results as of July 20th 2018

Upcoming Picks


Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Jalen Hurts +650
Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Tua Tagovailoa +500
Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Trevor Lawrence +350

Alabama 11 wins OVER (7-0)
Baylor 7 wins OVER (7-0)
Florida 9 wins OVER (7-1)
Georgia 10.5 wins OVER (7-1)
Illinois 3.5 wins OVER (3-4)
LSU 8.5 wins OVER (7-0)
Michigan 9.5 wins OVER (5-2)
Notre Dame 9.5 wins OVER (5-1)
Ohio St 10 wins OVER (7-0)
Nebraska 8 wins OVER (4-3)
Oregon 8.5 wins OVER (6-1)
Sparty 7 wins OVER (4-3)
Utah 8.5 wins OVER (6-1)


Reach AFC Conference Final - Kansas City Chiefs +160
Reach AFC Conference Final - Jacksonville Jaguars +625
Reach NFC Conference Final - New Orleans Saints +215
Reach NFC Conference Final - Chicago Bears +365

Cleveland Browns win AFC North +120
Jacksonville Jaguars win AFC South +350
Los Angeles Chargers win AFC West +280
Philadelphia Eagles win NFC East +105
Chicago Bears win NFC North +175
Carolina Panthers win NFC South +775
Seattle Seahawks win NFC West +280

CHI regular season wins over 9½ +105 (3-3)
CLE regular season wins over 9 -130 (2-4)
DAL regular season wins over 8½ -130 (4-3)
GB regular season wins over 9½ +105 (6-1)
JAX regular season wins over 8 -115 (3-4)
KC regular season wins over 10½ -115 (5-2)
LAR regular season wins over 10½ -105 (4-3)
NOR regular season wins over 10½ +105 (6-1)
PIT regular season wins under 8½ +120 (2-4)
SEA regular season wins over 8½ -115 (5-2)

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl +975 (6-1)

Thursday, December 7, 2017

Today's Line - Trust Your Data

6-6 last night with a loss of $0.06 thanks to the Fraudulant Gators a missed free throw by the Bucks that pushed the spread and two NBA games that my system had pegged but my human error cost me. I'm still learning to trust my data. If I don't I should just pass.

Not much of a slate tonight however I got a nice NFL teaser that bookends week 14.


Record Since Inception:
September 26, 2013:

4389-3966 (52.5%)

Beginning Balance: $7.80

Yesterday: $6.26
Today: $6.19
Since Inception: -$1.61
Growth: -21%

Last Week4941554.4%
Last Month1981701553.8%
Last 90 Days3923553252.5%
Last Year114410369352.5%

12-07-17NFLTeaser Pick 1: ATS: Saints +12.5 (-107)

12-07-17NFLTeaser Pick 2: Saints at Falcons OVER 41.5 (-110)

12-11-17NFLTeaser Pick 3: ATS: Patriots -1 (-105)

12-10-17NFLATS: Vikings -2.5 (-120)$0.20$0.17

12-09-17CFBATS: Midshipmen -3 (-130) b0.5$0.20$0.15

12-07-17NBAATS: Rockets -6 (-117)$0.10$0.08

12-07-17NBAATS: Nets +6.5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-07-17NBAATS: 76ers -8 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-07-17CBBATS: Cyclones -6.5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-07-17CBBATS: Crusaders +16 (-110)$0.10$0.09

Some Justification:


3 team teaser (+10)

We know the Saints struggle on the road historically however this year has been better going 3-2 ATS on the road so far. The reason for this is two-fold. One, their defense is much better with a healthy Lattimore which looks to be the odds on favorite for defensive ROY. Secondly, they have a running game with two very different backs that keeps opposing defenses guessing. These two things travel very well and with the Falcons in a "must win" game I like the Saints getting (+12.5).

Both teams are going to score that we know and since this is a prime time game but this total opened at 55 and has dropped to 51.5. This is super fishy since usually the total gets hammed by the public and it rises. The fact that this actually went down tells me the line makers got spooked and over adjusted. Getting it at 41.5 is icing on the cake.

I don't think I need to spend anytime on why I think the Pats (-1) will win on Monday night.


Theses two games Valpo (+16) and Iowa St (-6.5) are both games I just feel like will cover. I have no numbers to back this up. So tread lightly. I just think 16 is a lot to give a good Valpo team playing a vulnerable Purdue team. I said it before and I'll say it again Iowa won't win anything until they get rid of their coach. He should not be a leader of young men. If you don't believe me search for Iowa coach meltdowns and watch for yourself.


I'm not a Laker fan and I never was. I never liked Kobe and it killed me that Shaq was on the Lakers since he is one of my favorites. I also think BBB is a Big Big Bust and they have a long way to go until they can win on a consistent basis. The 76ers on the other hand have done the right thing and built a team that is dynamic, and hungry to win. Philadelphia (-8) leads the Lakers in most of the stats I track and the market hasn't quite caught up to them yet as they are just under 70% ATS. Love Philly in this spot.

I love teams that play hard especially when they are dogs and the Nets (+6.5) are no exception. This game is being played in Mexico City and the Thunder will be without Paul George. We know Oklahoma City is still trying to figure out how to win with their big 3 and now they are without George. Russ probably gets a triple-double but I don't see them covering.

The Houston Rockets (-6) is a different team with CP3 in the lineup. I'm not seeing the 4th quarter melts or the times where they let teams back into games. CP3 brings the type of maturity that Harden needed. I love this team out of the West and 6 points is not enough against Utah.

Good Luck All!

No comments:

Documented Results as of May 11, 2015