Documented Results as of July 20th 2018

Upcoming Picks


Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Jalen Hurts +650 (L)
Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Tua Tagovailoa +500 (L)
Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Trevor Lawrence +350 (L)
Win 2019 Heisman Trophy - Joe Burrow +375 (W)

Alabama 11 wins OVER (10-2) LOSER!
Baylor 7 wins OVER (9-0) WINNER!
Florida 9 wins OVER (10-2) WINNER!
Georgia 10.5 wins OVER (11-1) WINNER!
Illinois 3.5 wins OVER (6-4) WINNER!
LSU 8.5 wins OVER (9-0) WINNER!
Michigan 9.5 wins OVER (9-3) LOSER!
Notre Dame 9.5 wins OVER (10-2) WINNER!
Ohio St 10 wins OVER (10-0) WINNER!
Nebraska 8 wins OVER (4-5) LOSER
Oregon 8.5 wins OVER (9-1) WINNER!
Sparty 7 wins OVER (4-5) LOSER
Utah 8.5 wins OVER (9-1) WINNER!


Reach AFC Conference Final - Kansas City Chiefs +160 (W)
Reach AFC Conference Final - Jacksonville Jaguars +625 (L)
Reach NFC Conference Final - New Orleans Saints +215 (L)
Reach NFC Conference Final - Chicago Bears +365 (L)

Cleveland Browns win AFC North +120 LOSER!
Jacksonville Jaguars win AFC South +350 LOSER!
Los Angeles Chargers win AFC West +280 LOSER!
Philadelphia Eagles win NFC East +105 WINNER!
Chicago Bears win NFC North +175 LOSER!
Carolina Panthers win NFC South +775 LOSER!
Seattle Seahawks win NFC West +280 LOSER!

CHI regular season wins over 9½ +105 (6-6) LOSER!
CLE regular season wins over 9 -130 (5-7) LOSER!
DAL regular season wins over 8½ -130 (7-6) LOSER!
GB regular season wins over 9½ +105 (10-3) WINNER!
JAX regular season wins over 8 -115 (4-8) LOSER!
KC regular season wins over 10½ -115 (10-4) WINNER!
LAR regular season wins over 10½ -105 (8-6) LOSER!
NOR regular season wins over 10½ +105 (10-3) WINNER!
PIT regular season wins under 8½ +120 (8-6) WINNER!
SEA regular season wins over 8½ -115 (9-2) WINNER!

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl +975 (11-3) LOSER!


ATL regular season wins over 34.5 (15-39)
BOS regular season wins over 49.5 (37-15)
DEN regular season wins over 53.5 (37-16)
DET regular season wins over 38.5 (19-36)
LAC regular season wins over 54.5 (37-16)
MIA regular season wins over 43.5 (34-18)
ORL regular season wins over 41.5 (22-31)
PHI regular season wins over 54.5 (33-21)
POR regular season wins over 47.5 (25-29)
SAC regular season wins over 37 (21-31)
SAS regular season wins over 46.5 22-30)
UTA regular season wins over 53.5 (34-18)


Yankees to win WS +400

Friday, December 8, 2017

Today's Line - Going in the Wrong Direction

2-4 with a loss of $0.33 makes for a crappy night which included a loss by a hook and one of the most bizarre NFL games I have ever watched. Two HoF QBs looked like rookies, a head coach lost his mind, and we saw another very incompetent officiating crew. I guess its just another typical Thursday night game.

Another bizarre game was the Lakers/Philly game where the Lakers actually came out on top. That's 2 games in a row now that Philly has lost to inferior opponents. I'm wondering if the blueprint is out on how to beat these guys and their coach needs to change some things. There is no way a team like the Lakers should beat a team like Philly. At least on paper.

I'm going outside my comfort zone and taking two road favorites in CBB, and the NBA is always in play.


Record Since Inception:
September 26, 2013:

4391-3970 (52.5%)

Beginning Balance: $7.80

Yesterday: $6.19
Today: $5.86
Since Inception: -$1.94
Growth: -25%

Last Week4841553.9%
Last Month1951741552.9%
Last 90 Days3903583252.1%
Last Year114010339352.5%

12-08-17CBBATS: Horned Frogs -2 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-08-17CBBATS: Sooners -2.5 (-110)$0.10$0.09

12-08-17NBAATS: Celtics +2.5 (-110)$0.20$0.18

12-08-17NBAATS: Raptors -6 (-110)$0.20$0.18

12-08-17CBBATS: Sun Devils -5 (-107)$0.10$0.09

12-08-17NBAATS: Nuggets +2 (-110)$0.20$0.18

12-08-17NBAATS: Cavaliers -4.5 (-110)$0.20$0.18

Some Justification:

I have no justification for two of my CBB picks, since I rarely bet on road favorites. However, I don't think USC is all that good. They came into the season with some hype but feasted on cupcakes in their first four games and then got their shit pushed in when they played real teams. Oklahoma (-2.5) has got that freshman that is must watch tv and they're only giving 2.5.

I love TCU (-2) and I love the fact that Pitt fans are regretting that they ran off Jamie Dixon. Dixon has his best team yet and looking to make even more noise in the Big 12 and get to the second weekend in the Tourney. TCU travels to Nevada who is ranked but IMO hasn't played anyone. This is a great opportunity for TCU to show why they deserve to be ranked.

A ranked team at home giving only a few points? I'll take it. Arizona St (-5) is crushing teams and we saw how explosive they can be against Xavier. I don't think St Johns will be able to keep up. One thing that does worry me is that ASU has Kansas on Sunday.

In the NBA...

The Cavs (-4.5) are on the road taking on the Pacers. We saw the Pacers struggle with the Bulls so my confidence in them is low. The Cavs lead the Pacers in almost every relevant category and 4.5 is very doable.

The Nuggets (+2) aren't very good I get it. They've lost 2 in a row to what I believe are inferior teams. They are down two of their star players and they are still getting used to that. Orlando however isn't much better in fact they have a worse record than Denver but I don't pay too much attention to records this early in the season. My model likes Denver and Orlando is missing Fournier.

The Raptors (-6) might be the 3rd best team in the East and they are taking their talents to the Grind House to face a banged up Memphis team with again, a lame duck coach. This number is too short as I'm seeing a clean sweep in my model including Memphis at 34% ATS.

The Celtics (+2.5) travels to San Antonio to face Pop and the Spurs. We all know how good the Spurs are and Pop's ATS record but this is a case of the Celtics having more talent on the floor than the Spurs. I think Boston gets up for this game to prove they can beat teams that play sound basketball.

Good Luck All!

No comments:

Documented Results as of May 11, 2015