Another bizarre game was the Lakers/Philly game where the Lakers actually came out on top. That's 2 games in a row now that Philly has lost to inferior opponents. I'm wondering if the blueprint is out on how to beat these guys and their coach needs to change some things. There is no way a team like the Lakers should beat a team like Philly. At least on paper.
I'm going outside my comfort zone and taking two road favorites in CBB, and the NBA is always in play.
Record Since Inception:
September 26, 2013:
Beginning Balance: $7.80
Since Inception: -$1.94
|Last 90 Days||390||358||32||52.1%|
|12-08-17||CBB||ATS: Horned Frogs -2 (-110)||$0.10||$0.09|
|12-08-17||CBB||ATS: Sooners -2.5 (-110)||$0.10||$0.09|
|12-08-17||NBA||ATS: Celtics +2.5 (-110)||$0.20||$0.18|
|12-08-17||NBA||ATS: Raptors -6 (-110)||$0.20||$0.18|
|12-08-17||CBB||ATS: Sun Devils -5 (-107)||$0.10||$0.09|
|12-08-17||NBA||ATS: Nuggets +2 (-110)||$0.20||$0.18|
|12-08-17||NBA||ATS: Cavaliers -4.5 (-110)||$0.20||$0.18|
I have no justification for two of my CBB picks, since I rarely bet on road favorites. However, I don't think USC is all that good. They came into the season with some hype but feasted on cupcakes in their first four games and then got their shit pushed in when they played real teams. Oklahoma (-2.5) has got that freshman that is must watch tv and they're only giving 2.5.
I love TCU (-2) and I love the fact that Pitt fans are regretting that they ran off Jamie Dixon. Dixon has his best team yet and looking to make even more noise in the Big 12 and get to the second weekend in the Tourney. TCU travels to Nevada who is ranked but IMO hasn't played anyone. This is a great opportunity for TCU to show why they deserve to be ranked.
A ranked team at home giving only a few points? I'll take it. Arizona St (-5) is crushing teams and we saw how explosive they can be against Xavier. I don't think St Johns will be able to keep up. One thing that does worry me is that ASU has Kansas on Sunday.
In the NBA...
The Cavs (-4.5) are on the road taking on the Pacers. We saw the Pacers struggle with the Bulls so my confidence in them is low. The Cavs lead the Pacers in almost every relevant category and 4.5 is very doable.
The Nuggets (+2) aren't very good I get it. They've lost 2 in a row to what I believe are inferior teams. They are down two of their star players and they are still getting used to that. Orlando however isn't much better in fact they have a worse record than Denver but I don't pay too much attention to records this early in the season. My model likes Denver and Orlando is missing Fournier.
The Raptors (-6) might be the 3rd best team in the East and they are taking their talents to the Grind House to face a banged up Memphis team with again, a lame duck coach. This number is too short as I'm seeing a clean sweep in my model including Memphis at 34% ATS.
The Celtics (+2.5) travels to San Antonio to face Pop and the Spurs. We all know how good the Spurs are and Pop's ATS record but this is a case of the Celtics having more talent on the floor than the Spurs. I think Boston gets up for this game to prove they can beat teams that play sound basketball.
Good Luck All!
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